Tag: inflation

Negotiating Union Contracts

Negotiating Union Contracts in a High-Inflation Economy

Although inflation has cooled from its 2022–23 peak, it remains a defining factor at the bargaining table. Workers feel the cumulative effects of rising prices over the past several years. At the same time, employers face higher labor costs, escalating healthcare expenses, and demands for greater flexibility around where and how employees work. For employers with unionized workforces, these challenges are amplified. Negotiating union contracts is no longer just about splitting the difference on wage percentages—it is about balancing long-term financial stability with short-term employee expectations, preserving operational control while accommodating workplace changes, and finding creative ways to deliver value without locking in commitments that may become unsustainable if the economy shifts again.

This article offers employers practical strategies for negotiating union contracts in a high-inflation environment, focusing on three of the most contentious issues: wages, healthcare costs, and remote-work arrangements.

Inflation and Collective Bargaining

Inflation directly drives bargaining pressure. When the cost of groceries, housing, and transportation goes up, employees expect their wages to rise at least enough to maintain their standard of living. Unions will highlight members’ real-wage erosion and push for agreements that provide protection against continued volatility.

Employers have been here before. During the late 1970s and early 1980s, when inflation often hit double digits, cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) clauses became widespread in union contracts. As inflation moderated in the 1990s and 2000s, most employers phased out automatic COLAs, viewing them as too unpredictable and costly to maintain. Now, with inflation stabilizing but still running above the Federal Reserve’s 2-percent target, unions are again pressing for some form of inflation protection.

When preparing economic proposals, employers should:

  • Model affordability over the life of the agreement: Do not just budget year-to-year; understand what a multi-year wage pattern will cost when layered with healthcare, overtime, pensions, and roll-up effects.

  • Benchmark against industry peers: Unions will bring comparables to the table. Employers should know where they stand and avoid commitments that dramatically exceed local or industry norms.

  • Avoid long-term overcommitments: Be cautious with front-loaded increases or open-ended COLA clauses. What feels manageable today can become a liability if the economy slows and competitors are not living with similar terms.

Structuring Wage Increases

There is no one “right” way to build wage proposals, but employers should consider the following tools when negotiating union contracts:

  • Multi-year structures: Contracts can front-load or back-load increases. Front-loading provides workers with immediate relief but may leave employers paying above-market wages if inflation falls. Back-loading defers costs but risks resentment if inflation stays elevated. Many employers blend the two approaches, offering a strong first-year increase followed by smaller annual raises.

  • COLA triggers with caps: Rather than reinstating open-ended COLA provisions, employers can negotiate limited formulas. For example, wages could increase by a fraction of CPI, subject to a maximum percentage each year. This acknowledges inflation without handing over full control of wage growth to external forces.

  • Lump-sum bonuses: One-time payments can provide meaningful cash to employees without permanently raising base wages or compounding overtime, pension, and other benefit costs. Employers should, however, expect pushback from unions that prefer base-building increases for long-term earnings stability.

  • Tiered or differentiated increases: Wage increases can depend on seniority, skill level, or job classification. This can be a way to reward critical skills or long-service employees while moderating costs elsewhere. But employers should watch for morale issues and potential legal risks if disparities are too wide.

In every case, employers must ensure compliance with wage-and-hour rules, including minimum wage and overtime requirements under federal and state law. A wage package that looks good on paper can create compliance problems if it doesn’t account for legal requirements.

Managing Healthcare Costs When Negotiating Union Contracts

Healthcare costs are a perennial concern, and they are often one of the toughest issues in negotiating union contracts, especially in today’s environment of rising claims and specialty drug expenses. Employers are projecting annual cost increases well above general inflation. Unions know this and will often resist cost-shifting measures, framing them as benefit reductions rather than necessary adjustments.

Practical approaches include:

  • Employee cost sharing: Adjusting premium contributions, deductibles, or copays spreads costs more evenly. Employers should pair these adjustments with clear messaging that changes are designed to preserve overall benefit levels, not cut them.

  • Plan design changes: Options such as high-deductible plans, spousal surcharges, or dependent eligibility audits can provide meaningful savings. These changes, however, must be bargained carefully and communicated clearly to avoid perceptions of unilateral takeaways.

  • Wellness and preventive programs: Initiatives that encourage healthier lifestyles can reduce utilization over time. Framed correctly, these programs can be seen as joint investments in employee well-being.

  • Reserve funds or cost-sharing formulas: Some employers negotiate contract language that sets aside reserves or defines how future spikes will be shared. This can reduce conflict down the road when costs inevitably rise.

Employers should remember that health benefits are a mandatory subject of bargaining. Unilateral changes—even well-intended—can lead to grievances or unfair labor practice charges.

Negotiating Union Contracts - Looking at health insurance information.

Remote Work and Flexibility

Remote work has emerged as one of the most complex bargaining issues since the pandemic. For many employees in relevant positions, the ability to work from home is now viewed as a standard benefit, not a temporary privilege. Unions may seek to embed remote-work guarantees in contracts.

Employers, however, must think carefully before committing. Remote work implicates productivity, supervision, safety, and even cybersecurity. Once written into a CBA, these arrangements can be hard to adjust.

Strategies for handling remote-work demands while negotiating union contracts include:

  • Pilots with sunset clauses: Agree to trial programs with defined end dates. This allows both sides to evaluate productivity and employee satisfaction without permanent commitments.

  • Clear management-rights language: Preserve employer discretion over work locations. Where possible, limit contract language to procedures (such as how requests will be considered) rather than entitlements.

  • Distinguish accommodations from entitlements: ADA or state law may require remote work as a disability accommodation in some cases. Those obligations should be addressed separately, not written into the collective agreement as universal rights.

Handled carefully, remote-work provisions can be structured in a way that provides employees with flexibility while ensuring employers retain control over core operational decisions.

Remote Work

Leaving Room to Adapt

In high-inflation environments, union proposals tend to be more ambitious. Employers need mechanisms that provide flexibility over time:

  • Side letters or MOUs: Use these for experimental provisions. They provide flexibility to test new ideas without locking them into the core agreement.

  • Reopener clauses: Tie reopeners to inflation thresholds, healthcare cost increases, or legislative changes. This ensures that both sides can revisit the contract if conditions change dramatically.

  • Strong management-rights clauses: Explicitly protect employer discretion on operations, staffing, technology, and scheduling. These clauses become especially valuable when economic conditions shift mid-contract.

  • Non-economic benefits: Consider creative alternatives—training, scheduling input, vacation flexibility—that can be highly valued by employees without carrying heavy ongoing costs.

Employers should also pay close attention to past practice and industry comparables. Arbitrators frequently rely on these benchmarks when interpreting disputed contract terms.

Practical Approaches to Negotiating Union Contracts at the Table

The bargaining process itself can shape outcomes as much as the proposals on the table. Employers should:

  • Be transparent but strategic: Share enough financial context to build credibility, but avoid “opening the books” in ways that limit flexibility later.

  • Prepare detailed costing models: Understand the true cost of each proposal, including wage roll-ups, overtime, and pension implications. A one-percent wage increase often costs far more than one percent once these effects are included.

  • Use interest-based bargaining where appropriate: Focusing on mutual interests—such as stability, recruitment, and sustainability—can sometimes open the door to creative solutions that meet both parties’ needs.

  • Stay consistent and credible: Bargaining is as much about trust as economics. If management develops a reputation for following through on commitments and maintaining consistent positions, unions are more likely to engage constructively.

For employers, negotiating union contracts during high inflation requires not only careful costing but also a clear communication strategy that builds credibility with both union leaders and employees.

Conclusion

High inflation creates challenges for both sides of the bargaining table when negotiating union contracts. Unions want to protect members’ purchasing power; employers must guard against unsustainable cost growth. But with careful planning, creativity, and a willingness to use flexible tools, employers can negotiate agreements that provide meaningful improvements without jeopardizing financial stability.

The most effective strategies combine structured wage proposals, proactive healthcare cost management, cautious approaches to remote work (where applicable), and adaptive bargaining mechanisms such as side letters and reopeners. Employers who enter negotiations prepared, consistent, and transparent are best positioned not only to reach agreements in this inflationary environment, but also to build stronger long-term labor relationships.

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Future New York Minimum Wage

Future New York Minimum Wage Increases Planned

Changes to New York’s minimum wage rates have been a hot topic during a contentious 2024 state budgeting process. With a budget deal now in place in Albany, Governor Kathy Hochul has announced future New York minimum wages beginning in 2024. The increases are not as high as some were proposing, which could have made New York’s minimum wage the highest of any state in the country.

Regional Distinctions

After some discussion of moving back to a uniform minimum wage across the entire state, future New York minimum wage rates will continue to vary geographically. In 2023, the minimum wage for New York City, Long Island (Nassau and Suffolk Counties), and Westchester County is $15 per hour. For the rest of the state, it is $14.20. (Note: Certain fast food employers are subject to a statewide $15 minimum wage.)

On January 1, 2024, the New York City-area jurisdictions will increase to a $16 minimum wage, and the rest of the state will move to $15.

These rates will increase again by $0.50 in both 2025 and 2026. Thus, the 2024-2026 New York minimum wage rates will be:

2024 2025 2026
NYC, Long Island, Westchester $16.00 $16.50 $17.00
Rest of NYS $15.00 $15.50 $16.00

2027 and Beyond

After 2026, future New York minimum wage increases will occur based on the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) for the Northeast Region. In other words, the minimum wage will be indexed to inflation. It appears that the NYC, Long Island, and Westchester minimum wage would always remain higher than the rest of the state since they’re all tied to the same index.

The New York State Department of Labor is expected to publish the new minimum wage for the subsequent year annually by October 1st.

Despite the indexing, the minimum wage rates would not change if:

  • The CPI-W is negative;
  • The statewide unemployment rate increases by 0.5% or more during applicable periods; or
  • Total non-farm employment decreases (measured seasonally).

Overtime Exemption Thresholds

Higher minimum wage rates will also produce higher salary requirements to maintain the administrative and executive exceptions to New York’s overtime requirements. The increases in the salary thresholds should correspond to the same percentage increases in the applicable minimum wage. Accordingly, the anticipated salary thresholds through 2026 are shown below.

2024 2025 2026
NYC, Long Island, Westchester $1,200.00 $1,237.50 $1,275.00
Rest of NYS $1,124.20 $1,161.70 $1,199.15

Other Affected Rates

Other wage rates contained in New York’s minimum wage orders would also increase with the higher future New York minimum wage. For example, the tip allowance for restaurant and hotel employees would be expected to increase (as would the amount that service employees must receive in direct wages from their employers).

Plan Ahead

Although some employers will struggle with the higher minimum wage rates, the 2024 budget resolution at least provides some certainty on this issue for the foreseeable future. Plus, the increases are well below the $21.00+ per hour minimums that some legislators sought. Although these rates could be changed by future legislative action, employers can now better project their labor costs through 2026, including where wage rates must be negotiated and potentially set for years in advance in unionized workplaces.